Since their first match in 2004, Federer and Nadal have played 25 times with Nadal holding a commanding 17-8 record in head-to-head meetings. On clay, Nadal is 11-2. They've meet in the finals of a tournament an amazing 19 times with Nadal winning 13 of those. They last faced each other in the semifinals at Madrid on clay this year. Rafa won 5-7, 6-1, 6-3.
Nadal has won five French Open titles with his only loss since 2005 coming in 2009, the year Federer won his only title at Roland Garros. The two have battled for the championship at seven majors with Nadal winning five, including three at the French Open. Federer beat Nadal twice in the finals at Wimbledon and Nadal won the Australian Open and took the 2008 Wimbledon from Roger.
The winner of this match will be the player who starts quickly and is able to impose his style of aggressive play on the other.
The history of this rivalry and common sense both say Nadal should prevail. Five times a French Open champion, three times over Federer in the final, Nadal has more than earned the benefit of the doubt, and despite his struggles early on in the tournament, he has improved in each round and now stands just one victory away from a record-tying sixth French Open crown against a man, perhaps the greatest player of all time, whose number he just happens to own.
In the end, I pick Nadal to win, in five sets, with both players acquitting themselves as the great champions they are.
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